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Date: 4/21/2021

Session Time: 9:45 AM to 11:00 AM Pacific

Overdue?

Are California and other regions overdue for large earthquakes? Comparison of instrumental seismic data with longer term geological and paleoseismic data suggest that such regions have experienced fewer large earthquakes in the last century than the long term average. A commonly accepted implication is that such regions might be overdue and should expect an accelerated rate. Is the current rate actually anomalous? Just due to expected random variations? A low point between supercycles? A result of different observational techniques between the instrumental and pre-instrumental periods? We welcome presentations that will clarify the options, suggest testable hypotheses and enrich the conversation.

Conveners

David D. Jackson, University of California, Los Angeles (djackson@g.ucla.edu)
Danijel Schorlemmer, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences (ds@gfz-potsdam.de)

Oral Presentations

Participant RoleDetailsStart TimeMinutesAction
SubmissionWhy Are Large Earthquakes Rarely Overdue for New Zealand Faults?09:45 AM15View
SubmissionWhat Controls the Along-Strike Segmentations of Shallow Slow Slip Events? Insights From 3D Numerical Modeling of Slow Slip Events Along the Hikurangi Margin, New Zealand10:00 AM15View
SubmissionEvaluation of the Magnitude-Frequency Distribution of the Maximum Rupture Model for the Southern San Andreas and San Jacinto Faults10:15 AM15View
SubmissionRebuild of the Bulletin of the International Seismological Centre (ISC)10:30 AM15View
SubmissionIs California Overdue for Large Earthquakes?10:45 AM15View
Total:75 Minute(s)

 

 

 

Overdue?

Description

Type: Oral

Date: 4/21/2021

Time: 9:45 AM to 11:00 AM Pacific