Source Characterization and Uncertainty Quantification of the North Korean Nuclear Tests 2006-2017
Description:
We introduce a novel and transportable technique to determine yield and depth of burial from seismic source spectra of underground nuclear explosions. We demonstrate the application of the technique on the six declared North Korean nuclear tests. This approach derives source spectra in absolute units for regional phase (Pg) amplitudes by correcting observations for spreading, attenuation, and site amplification. This approach stands out as an innovative use of broad-area propagation models, making it transportable and across various geologic settings. The method is applicable in situations with multiple or limited station observations where depth of burial is unknown. We present new independent estimates of absolute yield and depth of burial consistent with prior assessments, underscoring the potential of this method in enhancing nuclear explosion monitoring capabilities and transportability
Session: Advancements in Forensic Seismology and Explosion Monitoring - I
Type: Oral
Date: 5/2/2024
Presentation Time: 08:45 AM (local time)
Presenting Author: Richard
Student Presenter: No
Invited Presentation:
Authors
Richard Alfaro-Diaz
Presenting Author
Corresponding Author
rad@lanl.gov
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Jonas Kintner
jkintner@lanl.gov
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Scott Phillips
wsp@lanl.gov
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Brent Delbridge
delbridge@lanl.gov
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Joshua Carmichael
joshuac@lanl.gov
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Source Characterization and Uncertainty Quantification of the North Korean Nuclear Tests 2006-2017
Category
Advancements in Forensic Seismology and Explosion Monitoring