Room: Key Ballroom 11
Date: 4/15/2025
Session Time: 4:30 PM to 5:45 PM (local time)
Accuracy and Variability of Physics-based Ground Motion Modeling
Accurate velocity and rupture models are essential to estimate realistic ground motions for seismic hazard and risk analysis. This session welcomes submissions assessing the importance of various model features on the accuracy of predicted ground motions through physics-based numerical modeling. Examples include dynamic and kinematic rupture models, development, calibration and validation of community seismic velocity models, and quantification of the contribution of various model features to the ground motions. In addition to guidance on model features required for accurate mean predictions, we welcome physics-based contributions that aim to model realistic variability of the ground motions. Finally, studies on mapping of uncertainty in velocity and source models into the resulting ground motions are encouraged.
Conveners
Hirakawa, Evan, U.S. Geological Survey (ehirakawa@usgs.gov)
Kim B. Olsen, San Diego State University (kbolsen@mail.sdsu.edu)
William Stephenson, U.S. Geological Survey (wstephens@usgs.gov)
Oral Presentations
| Evaluating Bias in Simulated Ground Motions for Moderate Magnitude Earthquakes in Southern California: A Study Using the Graves-Pitarka Method | Sajan K C | 04:30 PM | 15 | University of Southern California |
| Title | PA | start T | duration | Inst |
| 3D Broadband (0-25 Hz) Ground Motion Simulations for Statewide California | Ke Xu | 04:45 PM | 15 | San Diego State University |
| Title | PA | start T | duration | Inst |
| Simulation of Ground Motions for the November 11, 2019, Mw 4.9, Le Teil, France Earthquake Using a Hybrid Approach | Wei Li | 05:00 PM | 15 | RIZZO International Inc. |
| Title | PA | start T | duration | Inst |
| How Many Earthquake-rupture Simulations Are Required to Quantify Epistemic Ground-Motion Variability? | David Castro-Cruz | 05:15 PM | 15 | King Abdullah University of Science and Technology |
| Title | PA | start T | duration | Inst |
| Repeatable Source, Path and Site Effects on Ground Motion Variability Based on Dataset From the Central and Eastern United States | Mehran Davatgari Tafreshi | 05:30 PM | 15 | University of Memphis |
| Title | PA | start T | duration | Inst |
Accuracy and Variability of Physics-based Ground Motion Modeling - II
Description